The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Nationals are 68-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 77-74 ATS.

Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 4-7, 3.69 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 9-9, 3.89 ERA

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• Andres Chaparro has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.60 Units / 212% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.50 Units / 350% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+17.60 Units / 110% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 143 games (+10.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 away games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 16 games (+22.72 Units / 142% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 92 games (+19.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 93 games (+14.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 84-67 against the Run Line (+6.43 Units / 3.24% ROI).

• 68-83 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.54% ROI
• 70-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -5.74% ROI
• 73-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.92 Units / -2.94% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 77-74 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.34% ROI).

• 83-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 3.27% ROI
• 74-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -1.93% ROI
• 70-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -6.31% ROI

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Davidjohn Herz has allowed an OBP of just .253 (150 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 93rd Percentile.

Davidjohn Herz has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (331/1,065) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (76/188) against Davidjohn Herz on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (4-for-34) against Davidjohn Herz this month (2 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (420/738) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (438/898) when ahead in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,229/2,085) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,568/2,637) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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