The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-165) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Nationals are 68-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 76-74 ATS.
Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-9, 4.25 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 3-5, 4.50 ERA
Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)
- Andres Chaparro has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+18.50 Units / 168% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 142 games (+11.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 91 games (+18.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 92 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+12.78 Units / 142% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 84-66 against the Run Line (+7.88 Units / 4% ROI).
- 68-82 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 2.18% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.82 Units / -2.29% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 76-74 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.31% ROI).
- 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 73-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -2.55% ROI
- 70-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -5.67% ROI
Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Jose Tena (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tylor Megill (NYM) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 73% of Mitchell Parker’s pitches (43/59) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 59% — 100th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 70% (446/640) in two strike counts this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (43/295) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .396 (173-for-437) against Tylor Megill in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .401 (197 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .321 — third Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .425 (167 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .324 — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has walked 23 of 167 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.