The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Nationals are 68-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 76-73 ATS.

Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 10-12, 4.21 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 11-5, 3.37 ERA

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+13.65 Units / 72% ROI)
• Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 away games (+12.30 Units / 68% ROI)
• Andres Chaparro has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+18.50 Units / 168% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Sean Manaea has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 away games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 141 games (+10.80 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 141 games (+7.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 away games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+17.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 91 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 83-66 against the Run Line (+6.88 Units / 3.52% ROI).

• 68-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 2.82% ROI
• 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -5.81% ROI
• 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.82 Units / -2.92% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 76-73 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.21% ROI).

• 81-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.27% ROI
• 73-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -1.96% ROI
• 69-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -6.34% ROI

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (616/1,915) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (192/578) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 93rd Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (295/1,075) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .429 (280 Total Bases / 653 ABs) this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 15th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has walked 28 of 261 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (296/590) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (296/590) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .234 (37 Total Bases / 158 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — 97th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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