The Washington Nationals (+240) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-300) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Nationals vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 55-104 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 84-75 ATS.

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 45 away games (+23.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 50 games (+20.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 46 away games (+18.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 46 away games (+15.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 60 games (+24.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 58 of his last 77 games (+20.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 46 games at home (+19.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 44 of his last 69 games (+18.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games at home (+14.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 63 away games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 78 away games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 92 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 72 games at home (+21.32 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 121 games (+13.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 159 games (+6.95 Units / 3% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 71-88 against the Run Line (-23.75 Units / -12.44% ROI).

• 55-104 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -10.13% ROI
• 74-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -5.47% ROI
• 76-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -2.67% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 84-75 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 3.5% ROI).

• 98-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.73% ROI
• 84-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +9 Units / 5.12% ROI
• 68-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.2 Units / -13.86% ROI

Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cory Abbott has limited playing time.

Carlos Carrasco: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .699 (58 Total Bases / 83 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .415 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (76 Total Bases / 110 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .416 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.467 (103 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 1.030 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .346 (45-for-130) against Carlos Carrasco’s elevated fastball since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 0 Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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