The Washington Nationals (+220) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-275) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Nationals vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 40-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 61-58 ATS.
Nationals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Mariners Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday's matchup with 67.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+16.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 away games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 away games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 46 games at home (+18.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 58 of his last 88 games (+11.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 63 of their last 110 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+8.65 Units / 143% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 51-69 against the Run Line (-26.25 Units / -17.89% ROI).
- 40-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.1 Units / -16.17% ROI
- 60-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 53-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -9.37% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 65-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 8.05% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.3% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -6.38% ROI
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 52% (790/1,508) when ahead in the count since the start of last season – lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 62% – 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 52% (925/1,792) when ahead in the count since the start of 2020 – lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 62% – 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has allowed a slugging percentage of just .154 (6 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on low fastballs this season – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .426 – 100th Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 61% (1,215/2,006) against right-handed batters since the start of last season – 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 65% – second Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (490/1,115) when behind in the count since the start of last season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% – 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has walked 48 of 477 right-handed batters (10%) this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% – first Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (837/1,724) with two-strikes since the start of last season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% – 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has had third base stolen on him 11 times since the start of last season – most in MLB – 100th Percentile.