The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Nationals are 49-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 54-53 ATS.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 2-10, 5.30 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 7-6, 4.84 ERA

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.85 Units / 67% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 54% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games (+29.90 Units / 166% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+15.05 Units / 68% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 87% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.50 Units / 76% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 41% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 away games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 99 games (+12.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 99 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 54 away games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 51 games (+16.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 61-46 against the Run Line (+8.58 Units / 6.11% ROI).

• 49-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 5.93% ROI
• 51-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -4.15% ROI
• 51-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.02 Units / -5.07% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 54-53 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.75% ROI).

• 56-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.75% ROI
• 57-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 4.09% ROI
• 47-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -13.17% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .312 (215-for-689) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .306 (133-for-434) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .489 (337 Total Bases / 689 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — fourth Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .849 (750 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — fourth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .345 (142-for-412) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has an ERA of 7.37 (97.2 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (129/772) against Ryne Nelson since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (240 Total Bases / 412 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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