The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.< /p>

This season, the Nationals are 49-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 54-52 ATS.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 5-6, 4.38 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 7-5, 6.18 ERA

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+15.55 Units / 64% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Trey Lipscomb has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.60 Units / 160% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 17 games (+30.90 Units / 182% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 61% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+13.55 Units / 65% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.35 Units / 39% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 away games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (+10.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 53 away games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 60-46 against the Run Line (+7.58 Units / 5.46% ROI).

• 49-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 6.88% ROI
• 50-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -5.14% ROI
• 51-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.72 Units / -4.02% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 54-52 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -3.07% ROI).

• 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 56-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 3.19% ROI
• 47-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.1 Units / -12.2% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 69% (410/595) when ahead in the count this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (20 Total Bases / 36 ABs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 67% of Mitchell Parker’s pitches (295/443) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 16% (21/129) against Mitchell Parker when he’s behind in the count this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .355 (54-for-152) against Jordan Montgomery at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .256 (169-for-660) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 16th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 6 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has an ERA of 7.57 (35.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 3.76 — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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