Nationals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 8

The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Nationals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 36-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-53 ATS.

Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 away games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 53 games (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 97 games (+21.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 89 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-64 against the Run Line (-26.35 Units / -19.53% ROI).

  • 36-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.75 Units / -19.9% ROI
  • 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -8.03% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-53 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -5.55% ROI).

  • 43-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -14.39% ROI
  • 45-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -13.98% ROI
  • 56-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 5.77% ROI

Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 7.

Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 12% (2 SO in 16 PAs) with two-strikes this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (5/23) against Anibal Sanchez with two-strikes this month (1 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 41% — seventh Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 22 PAs) this month (1 games) — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 21% — ninth Percentile.

Keegan Thompson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keegan Thompson has averaged 89.6 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted .455 (10-for-22) against Keegan Thompson on the road — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has a strike rate of just 60% (342/568) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (12/40) against Keegan Thompson — 15th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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