The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-175) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Nationals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 37-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 55-54 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 away games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 55 games (+17.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 60 games (+15.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+15.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 60 of their last 99 games (+21.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 19 games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 47-65 against the Run Line (-26.55 Units / -19.34% ROI).
- 37-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.9 Units / -18.83% ROI
- 56-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 49-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -9.69% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-54 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -5.47% ROI).
- 44-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -14.91% ROI
- 47-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -12.06% ROI
- 56-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 3.83% ROI
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.118 (19 Total Bases / 17 ABs) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 31 of 207 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (284 Total Bases / 438 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .480 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 49 of 350 left-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 50% (10 SO in 20 PAs) this month (1 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has pitched 13.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Caleb Ferguson has the longest active streak at 20.0.
Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .360 (152 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .639 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (181/422) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.