The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-275) on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 47-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 76-58 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 59-75 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -13.98% ROI).
- 47-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -7.51% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 76-58 against the Run Line (+15.65 Units / 9.36% ROI).
- 78-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 6.15% ROI
- 62-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 66-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.2% ROI
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .694 (129 Total Bases / 186 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 56% (588/1,052) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed 34 home runs this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (184 Total Bases / 331 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (86/280) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (815/1,200) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time (363/548) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (832/1,399) when behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.