The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-210) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter, FL.
This season, the Nationals are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 1-10 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jeter Downs has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 81 away games (+14.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 6-6 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.58 Units / 34% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.76 Units / 20.89% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.81 Units / -28.63% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 1-10 against the Run Line (-10.69 Units / -80.32% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.26 Units / -32.59% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.67 Units / -38.37% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.82 Units / 31.7% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .293 (210-for-717) against Patrick Corbin in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strikeout rate of just 16% (124/790) in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strike rate of just 57% (438/762) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin had a strikeout rate of just 14% (26/189) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.