The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Nationals are 49-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 52-52 ATS.
Nationals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 1-4, 4.91 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-8, 5.04 ERA
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+16.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trey Lipscomb has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 47 games (+31.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+25.45 Units / 85% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+15.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.10 Units / 51% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 97 games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+10.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 52 away games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 59-46 against the Run Line (+6.58 Units / 4.79% ROI).
- 49-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 7.85% ROI
- 50-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -4.19% ROI
- 50-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.72 Units / -4.92% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 52-52 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -2.18% ROI).
- 53-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -6.58% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -1.63% ROI
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 5 opportunities (40%) this month (3 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (5/40) against Davidjohn Herz this month (3 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (51/145) against Davidjohn Herz this month (3 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (68/200) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .570 (134 Total Bases / 235 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .322 (58-for-180) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (74-for-235) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .950 (189 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — first Percentile.