The Washington Nationals (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Nationals are 44-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 49-47 ATS.
Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 7-7, 3.16 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 8-3, 3.81 ERA
Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 88 games (+10.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 96 games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 92 games (+9.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 54-42 against the Run Line (+6.33 Units / 5.08% ROI).
- 44-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 6.94% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.92 Units / -1.81% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 49-47 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.8% ROI).
- 54-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.96% ROI
- 51-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 7.39% ROI
- 40-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -15.19% ROI
Brewers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Brewers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Brewers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (135/366) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has allowed an OBP of just .220 (205 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 96th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (617/1,760) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.