The Washington Nationals (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Nationals are 43-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 49-46 ATS.

Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 5-5, 3.46 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel 0-0, 4.61 ERA

Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.20 Units / 189% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+9.25 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 87 games (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 87 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 away games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 53-42 against the Run Line (+5.33 Units / 4.33% ROI).

• 43-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 5.81% ROI
• 43-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -8.27% ROI
• 47-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.72 Units / -0.69% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 49-46 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 54-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 7.2% ROI
• 50-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 6.5% ROI
• 40-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -14.22% ROI

Brewers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 11th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 67% of Mitchell Parker’s pitches (265/395) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 1 of 51 batters (2%) in his last two starts — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 1 of 51 batters (2%) this month (2 games) — tied for 4th best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dallas Keuchel has a strike rate of just 49% (85/172) this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has a strike rate of just 49% (85/172) this month (2 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has walked 6 of 31 right-handed batters (19%) this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has walked 7 of 42 batters (17%) this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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