The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Nationals are 58-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 56-72 ATS.

Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 9-10, 3.83 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 7-7, 4.36 ERA

Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 45 games (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+20.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+19.20 Units / 120% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 121 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 121 games (+5.65 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 away games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 114 games (+31.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 73-56 against the Run Line (+8.93 Units / 5.29% ROI).

• 58-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 1.75% ROI
• 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.63% ROI
• 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.17 Units / -7.1% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 56-72 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -12.83% ROI).

• 69-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -9.83% ROI
• 47-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.55 Units / -25.47% ROI
• 76-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.05 Units / 16.91% ROI

Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (461/1,337) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (173/501) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (276/998) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Jake Irvin when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .217 — second Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .351 (740 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — eighth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (397/1,120) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .358 (466 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (169/462) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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