The Washington Nationals (+225) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-275) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Nationals are 58-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 56-71 ATS.

Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 7-11, 4.62 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 14-3, 2.64 ERA

Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 45 games (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+20.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+20.20 Units / 135% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+19.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+18.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 120 games (+11.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 120 games (+6.65 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 72 of their last 113 games (+30.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 72-56 against the Run Line (+7.93 Units / 4.73% ROI).

• 58-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 2.5% ROI
• 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -0.93% ROI
• 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.17 Units / -7.87% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 56-71 against the Run Line (-18.45 Units / -12.14% ROI).

• 68-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -10.44% ROI
• 47-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -34.55 Units / -24.94% ROI
• 75-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.05 Units / 16.35% ROI

Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (269/942) against MacKenzie Gore since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (210/746) against MacKenzie Gore since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has allowed a BABIP of .371 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 0 Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has an ERA of 6.15 (115.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — second Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

27 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .461 (207 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .228 (43 Total Bases / 189 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 48% (45 SO in 93 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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