iv class=”bodyContent col-lg-9 mb-3″>
After a few days away, we're back with more MLB player props on Friday. As always, the focus is on finding value by shopping for the longest odds across our best MLB betting sites.
Today's MLB predictions and player props come after a couple of rough days in which I forced the issue a bit, chasing a trio of home run picks on Tuesday and another strikeout pick on Wednesday that I probably should have left alone.
However, we're back on Friday with some +EV picks from our best sports betting sites to finish the week strong.
We're targeting a pair of young righties with the first two strikeout props, and there are more that I'll be tracking throughout the day. Let's get right into it before we lose these numbers!
Today's MLB predictions
MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting s ites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Brandon Pfaadt Under 5.5 strikeouts (-104 via Caesars) ????
- Spencer Schwellenbach Under 5.5 strikeouts (+115 via bet365) ????
MLB player props for Friday
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -105 | -111 | -110 | -104 | -105 |
Best odds: -104 via Caesars | Implied probability: 50.98%
Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander Pfaadt might be one of my most-bet pitchers this season, and he's burned me plenty of times.
When I've bet his Under, he's racked up a handful of punchouts during the last couple of innings when the win seemed guaranteed. When I've bet his Over, he's gone seven strong while striking out only four or five.
However, you have to be a goldfish when it comes to betting. So we're going back to Pfaadt on Friday.
The right-hander is projected for just 4.97 strikeouts against the Pirates. When we run that against these -104 odds at Caesars, we're getting nearly 22% positive expected value.
I would have loved cheeky even-money odds for this one, but a winning $10 wager still pays out $9.62 in profit.
< p class=''>Game info: Diamondbacks vs. Pirates | Moneyline: Diamondbacks (-135 via bet365) | Total: 8.5 via bet365 | Start time: 6:40 p.m. ET
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Terms and conditions apply.
Claim $1,000
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | +100 | +104 | OFF | OFF | +115 |
Best odds: +115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 46.51%
Atlanta Braves rookie pitcher Schwellenbach has been impressive in his last two starts, striking out 19 over 13 innings. He's racked up 60 punchouts for the season across 57 2/3 frames.
However, he's projected for just 5.29 strikeouts on Friday, and we're getting an excellent price on his Under through one of our best sports betting apps.
bet365's +115 price is far better than the next-best of +104, and it would lead to an $11.50 profit on a winning $10 wager. DraftKings' +100 odds suggest this bet is more of a coin flip than these +115 odds imply.
Game info: Marlins vs. Braves | Moneyline: Braves (-230 via bet365) | Total: 9 via bet365 | Start time: 7:20 p.m. ET
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Claim $150
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.