- Monday night's two pitching props come from the late games: Padres vs. Rockies and Diamondbacks vs. Giants.
- Tanner McGrath sees value on hurlers Sean Manaea and Merrill Kelly.
- Check out how he's betting both guys below.
Another week, another week of MLB Player Props using our Action Labs tools.
Our internal projections show value on today’s starters for the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Our Action Labs Props Tool grades each prop on a scale from 1-10, and I'll be sure to include the grade for each of my betting recommendations in my discussions below.
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| Padres vs. Rockies | Padres -155 |
| First Pitch | 8:40 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | BetRivers |
All Sean Manaea does is cash this number. You can argue about his statistics until the cows come home (4.18 ERA, 3.64 xERA, 3.90 xFIP), but Manaea consistently cashes strikeout totals for his backers.
Manaea has gone over this line in …
- 13 of 15 starts this season (87%, -650 implied odds)
- 35 of 47 starts dating back to last season (74%, -292 implied odds)
- 8 of 8 road starts this season (100%)
- 19 of 23 road starts dating back to last season (83%, -475 implied odds)
Manaea strikes out around 9.4 batters per nine innings and that number jumps to 10.4 when he’s on the road. His two secondary pitches (changeup and slider) both have Whiff rates over 30%.
The Rockies don’t strike out too much and it’s tough this game is being played at Coors Field. But when you’re giving me 4.5 Ks with Manea at plus-money, the over is an auto-bet.
Our Action Labs Player Props tool projects Manaea for 5.8 Ks on Monday night, while FanGraphs SaberSim projects him for 4.9. Both projections show value on this number up to around -120.
Pick:'Over 4.5 Ks (+100)
Action Labs Grade: 10/10