Wednesday's full slate of Major League Baseball action offers a great blend of afternoon and night games, and we offer our top MLB prop picks and best bets for Wednesday based on the best MLB odds.
The four best teams in the American League continue their series against each other, as the Cleveland Guardians look to even their series with the Seattle Mariners in a matchup of first-place teams, while the Baltimore Orioles look to cut the New York Yankees' lead in the AL East back to 1.5 games.
Elsewhere, the New York Mets are the hottest team in baseball, having won seven straight games, and they look to extend their winning streak when they visit the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field, with first pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET.
Here are our MLB player props and expert picks for Wednesday.
Wednesday's MLB expert picks
MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Jarren Duran Over 0.5 runs scored (+102 via Caesars) ?????
- Royce Lewis Over 0.5 RBIs (+155 via bet365) ???
- Hunter Brown Under 2.5 earned runs (-155 via bet365) ????
- Cole Ragans to record a win (-115 via DraftKings) ???
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MLB player props
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | +100 | -115 | +100 | +102 | -105 |
Game info: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Moneyline: Blue Jays (-130 via bet365) | Total: 8 via bet365 | Start time: 7:07 p.m. ET
Red Sox leadoff man Duran leads the team with 49 runs scored, seven more than the next closest teammate. Duran has scored at least one run in seven of the last nine games and 10 of the previous 13, for 17 through 16 June games.
He should have plenty of chances to get on base against Blue Jays righty Kevin Gausman, against whom he has a 1.400 career OPS in 10 at-bats, with four of his five hits going for extra bases. The Red Sox had also scored 91 combined runs in their last 11 wins, so expect another high-scoring affair if they can pull out the victory as underdogs.
We are making this confident five-star play at Caesars, the only shop offering better than +100 odds.
Best odds: +102 via Caesars
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| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | +145 | +125 | +145 | +139 | +155 |
Game info: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins | Moneyline: Twins (-165 via bet365) | Total: 7.5 via bet365 | Start time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Lewis entered yesterday's series opener on absolute fire amid an injury-marred season. He has homered in seven of 12 games played. In his 82 career games before Tuesday, Lewis had hit .319 with 24 home runs and 68 RBIs, which, extrapolated over a full season, would result in 48 home runs and 136 RBIs.
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Lewis also hits behind scalding-hot teammate Carlos Correa in the lineup, who was 20-for-36 over the eight games before Tuesday, scoring 11 runs and totaling 11 RBIs, and raising his batting average by 53 points in the process. We are only making this a three-star play as Rays starter Taj Bradley has held right-handed batters to a .180 OBA but has pitched to an 11.88 ERA through two road starts.
Best odds: +155 via bet365
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -160 | N/A | -160 | -163 | -155 |
Game info: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox | Moneyline: Astros (-125 via bet365) | Total: 7.5 via bet365 | Start time: 8:10 p.m. ET
Astros righty Brown enters this start having not allowed an earned run in his last 13 innings and has pitched to a 2.41 ERA over his last seven starts while producing a K:BB ratio of better than 4:1 in that span. Five of Brown's six quality starts this season have come over his last five starts, and a lot of his success has come from relying on his secondary pitches more while lowering his four-seam fastball usage, as he has allowed just a .375 wOBA in June with that pitch, as RotoBaller's Corbin Young pointed out.
Brown should dominate a White Sox team that has lost nine consecutive series and who ranks 25th or worse in batting average (.226), on-base percentage (.289), and strikeout rate (25.5%) since tha t downturn. Considering Chicago's team total of Under 3.5 runs is juiced to -135 at bet365, we are getting great value for Brown to allow two or fewer of those runs.
Best odds: -155 via bet365
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -115 | N/A | N/A | -119 | -115 |
Game info: Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics | Moneyline: Royals (-180 via bet365) | Total: 7.5 via bet365 | Start time:
The Royals went 5-7 in the 12 games before Tuesday's series opener against the Athletics, but those 12 games were all against first-place teams (Los Angeles Dodgers, Yankees, Mariners, and Guardians), while the Oakland Athletics do not figure to provide nearly as much resistance.
Ragans is on pace for the best strikeout rate (29.1%) and walk rate (7.4%) of his short three-year career and also ranks near the top quarter of all pitchers (73rd percentile) in xERA. He faces an A's lineup that strikes out at the fifth-highest rate against southpaws (24.8%) and who ranks 27th or worse in batting average and slugging in that split. While Oakland ranks in the top half of the league in slugging against left-hande d pitchers, Ragans has allowed just a .330 slugging percentage all season and an even more impressive .310 slugging to right-handed hitters.
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Kansas City is 29-14 against teams under .500, while the A's have won just four of 18 games against the AL Central. We expect a big win from the Royals, which would also clinch their first season series victory over the A's since 2015.
Best odds: -115 via DraftKings
MLB player props made Wednesday at 7:22 a.m. ET.
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