Wednesday's Major League Baseball action starts early, so let's get right into it with our top MLB player props and expert picks based on the best MLB odds.
There's nothing quite like a jam-packed day of baseball before getaway day, and that's what we're treated to on Wednesday.
The action begins at 12:35 p.m. ET with a showdown between the Los Angeles Angels and Pittsburgh Pirates.
Then there's an intriguing matchup between AL Central contenders at 1:10 p.m. ET, as the Detroit Tigers visit the Cleveland Guardians. We're targeting a pitcher prop from that game.
There's also a doubleheader, as the World Series odds-contender Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics will duke it out first at 3:37 p.m. ET before squaring off again roughly three hours later.
There aren't many true late games teed up, with the evening concluding in Colorado when the Rockies host the San Francisco Giants. Can starting pitcher Jordan Hicks bounce back from an abbreviated outing? First pitch is expected at 8:40 p.m. ET.
Here are our MLB player props and expert picks for Wednesday (MLB picks based on odds via our
best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Wednesday's MLB expert picks
- Tanner Bibee Under 6.5 strikeouts (-139 via BetRivers) ????
- George Kirby Under 6.5 strikeouts (-143 via BetMGM) ????
- Jordan Hicks Over 4.5 strikeouts (+115 via ESPN BET) ????
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MLB player props
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 6.5 (-140) | Under 6.5 (-148) | Under 6.5 (-149) | Under 6.5 (-161) | Under 6.5 (-150) |
Game info: Tigers vs. Guardians | Moneyline: Guardians (-135 via Betway) | Total: Over 7.5 (-105)/Under 7.5 (-115) via Betway | Start time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Cleveland Guardians right-hander Tanner Bibee was rocked in his last outing, allowing six earned runs on eight hits to the lowly Los Angeles Angels. He managed just four strikeouts across five innings while dropping his K/9 to 9.66 for the season. That's paired with a bloated 3.22 walks per nine innings and 1.49 home runs per nine.
However, Bibee does get the benefit of facing a Detroit Tigers team on Wednesday that strikes out at the league's sixth-highest rate.
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Despite that, Bibee is projected for just 5.44 punchouts on Wednesday, based on the average from three of our trusted projection models. We're getting roughly 19% positive expected value on this bet when we run that projection against these -139 odds through BetRivers.
We could soon see our best sports betting sites move Bibee's total to 5.5, as Pinnacle – which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry – is already as short as -205 for Under 6.5.
Best odds: -139 via BetRivers
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 6.5 (-140) | Under 6.5 (-162) | Under 6.5 (-143) | Under 6.5 (-143) | Under 6.5 (-165) |
Game info: Mariners vs. Twins | Moneyline: Mariners (-115 via Betway) | Total: Over 7.5 (+100)/Under 7.5 (-120) via Betway | Start time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Seattle Mariners right-hander George Kirby is one of the best starters in the majors and a contender in the Cy Young odds. He's also already one of the best command pitchers ever.
Kirby is allowing just 0.94 walks per nine innings in 2024 after finishing 2023 at 0.9 BB/9. Additionally, he's increased his strikeouts overall this season, but the majority of those – 12 of 41 – came against an Arizona Diamondbacks team that looked lost at the plate.
For a time, the Minnesota Twins looked similarly lost nearly every game, but they've bounced back significantly from their early-season woes. The Twins sit in the top 10 in the majors in wRC+, and after owning one of the three hig hest strikeout rates for much of April, they're now down to the ninth-highest.
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For his part, Kirby is projected to record just 5.3 strikeouts on Wednesday. Based on that projection, we're getting roughly 21% +EV on this bet through these -143 odds at BetMGM.
My only note of caution is there's been some two-way action at Pinnacle, but I'd say the buyback on the Over was more a case of the price getting too long (it reached +147). As it stands, the Under at Pinnacle is still -177 after opening at -134.
Best odds: -143 via BetMGM
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Over 3.5 (-210) | Over 4.5 (-104) | Over 3.5 (-208) | Over 3.5 (-233) | Over 4.5 (-110) |
Game info: Giants vs. Rockies | Moneyline: Giants (-175 via Betway) | Total: Over 9.5 (-115)/Under 9.5 (-105) via Betway | Start time: 8:40 p.m. ET
There were always going to be a few bumps in the road for San Francisco Giants starter Jordan Hicks, who's spent the vast majority of his professional career as a reliever. He made only eight starts in 212 appearances before 2024, but Hicks has given the Giants a boost in the rotation thus far. Hicks owns a 1.89 ERA, though he's striking out only 7.11 batters per nine.
However, that shouldn't matter on Wednesday against a truly pitiful Colorado Rockies team. The Rockies own the league's second-highest strikeout rate, and they pair that nicely with the second-worst wRC+ and second-fewest runs scored.
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Hicks is projected for 5.17 punchouts on Wednesday, which doesn't give us a huge cushion for the five he'd need to go Over this total. But that's where the +115 odds come into play. Based on these odds, we're getting nearly 25% +EV on this bet.
As you can see, most of our other best sports betting apps are still offering a total of 3.5 with the Over heavily juiced, and the two books already at 4.5 are featuring the Over at minus money.
Therefore, get this price before the rest of our best sportsbooks jump to 4.5 and that becomes Hicks' standard line trading at minus money.
Best odds: +115 via ESPN BET
MLB player props made Wednesday at 8 a.m. ET.
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