It's a full day of baseball, from afternoon to evening, and we're offering our top MLB player props and expert picks for Wednesday based on the best MLB odds.
These are the best days for baseball fans, as we're treated to MLB action from the afternoon to late in the night (for East Coasters, at least).
The first games of the day are expected to begin at 1:10 p.m. ET, with a two-pack of afternoon baseball featuring matchups between the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers.
The day rolls on with the Kansas City Royals visiting the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre, and we're targeting a starter in that showdown when first pitch is thrown at 3:07 p.m. ET.
We continue with another battle between AL East rivals and World Series odds favorites, as the Baltimore Orioles look for t he three-game sweep over the visiting New York Yankees. First pitch is slated for 6:35 p.m. ET.
Finally, we go to the desert, and hopefully, there will be no bees on Wednesday. The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks will square off, and first pitch is (perhaps tentatively) scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET.
Here are our MLB player props and expert picks for Wednesday (MLB picks based on odds via our
best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Wednesday's MLB expert picks
- Joe Musgrove Under 6.5 strikeouts (-120 via bet365) ????
- Chris Bassitt Over 4.5 strikeouts (-120 via BetMGM) ???
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MLB player props
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 6.5 (-135) | Under 6.5 (-142) | Under 6.5 (-125) | Under 6.5 (-127) | Under 6.5 (-120) |
Game info: Reds vs. Padres | Moneyline: Padres (-135 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (+100)/Under 8.5 (-120) via Betway | Start time: 4:10 p.m. ET
San Diego Padres right-hander Joe Musgrove has been awful this season, and it doesn't appear he's been especially unlucky. Sure, he owns a .350 BABIP, but he's also walking 3.34 batters per nine innings to go with just 6.94 strikeouts per nine.
Fortunately for Musgrove, the Cincinnati Reds strike out at the fourth-highest rate in the league. However, we mentioned the right-hander's inflated walk rate, and the Reds also walk at the ninth-highest rate in the league. If Musgrove begins handing out free passes, he'll surely be punished by MLB's leading team in stolen bases.
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Musgrove is projected for just 5.29 strikeouts on Wednesday based on the average projection from three of our trusted models. Based on that projection, we're getting roughly 30% positive expected value on this bet.
As you can see, our other best sports betting sites are trading at prices closer to -130, with FanDuel already at -142. Be sure to act quickly and get these odds at bet365 before they disappear.
Best odds: -120 via bet365
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Over 4.5 (-130) | Over 4.5 (-140) | Over 4.5 (-120) | Over 4.5 (-133) | Over 4.5 (-120) |
Game info: Royals vs. Blue Jays | Moneyline: Blue Jays (-130 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (-105)/Under 8.5 (-115) via Betway | Start time: 3:07 p.m. ET
Toronto Blue Jays veteran Chris Bassitt has thus far been on a bit of a roller-coaster ride to start the season. He's mixed in three very strong starts with three absolute stinkers, striking out a total of 30 batters across 30 1/3 innings while recording a hideous 5.04 BB/9.
Bassitt will try to rebound from his latest clunker when he faces the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday, who don't own an especially prolific offense but also don't strike out very frequently, making this a bit of a tricky bet.
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However, Bassitt is projected for 5.43 strikeouts on Wednesday, as all three of our trusted models expect him to record around a strikeout per inning while pushing six frames for the third time this season. Based on that projection, we're getting roughly 15% +EV on this bet through the -120 odds found at either BetMGM or bet365.
Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, is already trading at -159 to back this Over.
Best odds: -120 via BetMGM
MLB player props made Wednesday at 9 a.m. ET.
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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- Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)