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With the National League MVP and Cy Young races all but settled, the best way to still bet on the favorites is by targeting their daily markets, and that's exactly what we're doing with today's MLB player prop bets.
Shohei Ohtani is such a massive favorite by the MLB MVP odds that we're now just tracking whether he can outdo himself with our Ohtani 50/50 odds. On Tuesday, we're backing the megastar to add to his rapidly growing total of home runs and stolen bases in his return to Anaheim.
Along with Ohtani, we have another favorite in an awards race, as Chris Sale is the runaway front-runner by the NL Cy Young odds. He has a cakewalk matchup against the lowly Colorado Rockies on Tuesday, but will he dominate as expected?
We also have strikeout props for two other pitchers on the West Coast, providing you with betting options for the entire evening.
Today's MLB player props
MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Chris Sale Under 8.5 strikeouts (+122 via FanDuel) ????
- Walker Buehler Under 4.5 strikeouts (+105 via bet365) ????
- Luis Castillo Under 6.5 strikeouts (+114 via FanDuel) ????
- Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+280 via FanDuel) ??
MLB prop bets for Tuesday
Best odds: +122 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 45.05%
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Sale has been an absolute monster this season. He leads all qualified pitchers in strikeouts per nine innings at 11.54 and strikeout percentage at 32.4. However, he's slowed down recently, punching out just 10 across his last 13 innings.
It's unknown whether Sale is making a concerted effort to pitch to contact more ahead of the postseason or the big southpaw is just slowing down as he closes in on his most innings since 2017. Regardless, let's take advantage on Tuesday.
Sale is projected for just 8.22 Ks against the Rockies, providing us with 25% positive expected value on this bet.
Game info:
- Rockies vs. Braves
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
- First pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Braves (-340 via bet365)
- Total: 7.5 via bet365
Best odds: +105 via bet365 | Implied probability: 48.78%
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Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler looks like a shell of the pitcher he once was. Buehler used to dominate opposing hitters with his big fastball and filthy curveball. Now, he more closely resembles a BP pitcher.
Buehler owns a 5.88 ERA over his 11 starts this season, and he's allowing 2.02 home runs per nine innings. Additionally, he's striking out a career-low 7.16 per nine.
On Tuesday, Buehler is projected to strike out only 4.02 Angels hitters, making this bet roughly 25% +EV.
Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, opened with Buehler's strikeout Under at +127, and it's since moved to -132.
Game info:
- Dodgers vs. Angels
- Venue: Angel Stadium, Anaheim
- First pitch: 9:38 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Dodgers (-185 via b et365)
- Total: 9 via bet365
Best odds: +114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 46.73%
Every time I check on a Luis Castillo start, his final stat line looks incredibly mediocre. However, he's been pretty good this year, with just a 3.65 ERA over 165 1/3 innings. But his strikeouts are way down from last year: 9.09 per nine from 10.01.
Castillo faces a red-hot Oakland Athletics team on Tuesday, and he could be chased after only five innings. As such, his strikeout projection is just 5.74, making this bet a whopping 39% +EV.
This is another solid plus-money offering, as a winning $10 wager would result in $11.40 in profit.
Game info:
- Mariners vs. Athletics
- Venue: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland
- First pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Mariners (-150 via bet365)
- Total: 8 via bet365
Best odds: +280 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 26.32%
Finally, we look to Angel Stadium, where Ohtani spent the first six years of his MLB career and returns to for the first time as a member of the Dodgers. Will Ohtani torture his former club and the home fans?
I think so, and so do the projections. Ohtani has one of the best home run projections on Tuesday, and these +280 odds via FanDuel are showing great value.
Ohtani is sitting on 44 home runs and 46 stolen bases as he chases down the epic 50/50 milestone, and he looks like a good bet to add to at least one of those totals on Tuesday in his triumphant return to Anaheim.
Game info:
- Dodgers vs. Angels
- Venue: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland
- First pitch: 9:3 8 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Dodgers (-190 via bet365)
- Total: 9 via bet365
MLB betting odds pages
| World Series Odds | MLB Rookie of the Year Odds | MLB Cy Young Award Odds |
| MLB MVP Odds | World Series MVP Odds | MLB Win Totals |
| MLB Home Run Derby Odds |
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
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- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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