Don't like sitting around for the entirety of a baseball game only for your bet to lose in the 9th inning? Well then, the YRFI/NRFI market is your new best betting strategy. Just reserve about 10 or 15 minutes to watch the first inning and let the chips fall where they may. Thursday provides us with a small, 6-game slate, but there's still plenty of betting value on the board. So, let’s get right into it, and don't forget to check out our
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Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals: YRFI (-125)
It's Patrick Corbin day in D.C., and while Corbin's numbers are better than in years past, they're still a far reach from what you'd expect from your top guy. Through 24 starts, Corbin owns a 4.85 ERA and 1.50 WHIP and is coming off his second shutout of the season when he surrendered just 1 hit against the Phillies across 5.0 innings. While that all sounds great, Corbin walked 7 batters and 7 of the 14 balls put in play had an exit velocity of over 95 mph. Typically, a night like that would result in multiple runs, Corbin just happened to hit a stroke of luck that particular night.
The Red Sox have hit the ball hard all season long, and I don't expect that to change against a pitcher yielding a 45.1% hard-hit rate and .312 xBA. I'm also expecting some early success from the Nationals, even though they'll be up against Chris Sale. Sale looked sharp in his first start back last week, registering 7 strikeouts over 4.2 innings, but it was against the Detroit Tigers. The Nationals have done damage against lefties this season and are hitting .254 as a team. Sale is still working his way back and I think the Nats are better than their record suggests. Back some runs in the first inning.