It’s a very busy day in baseball with the action starting early in Pittsburgh and then going throughout the day before one final game between the Cubs and Dodgers in Los Angeles. I’ve crafted a 3-leg parlay that pays out at over 10/1 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, so let’s dive right in!
Kansas City Royals ML (+126) over New York Yankees
Not only did the Royals beat the Yankees yesterday, but they became the first team ever to limit the Yankees to 0 runs, 0 walks, and 14 strikeouts. In summary, it was pure domination by the Royals last night. They were hitting Marcus Stroman and the Yankees bullpen while Seth Lugo threw a gem to lower his already-very-low season ERA. Kansas City has the opportunity to win the series with a victory tonight, and the Royals are sending Cole Ragans to the mound. The lefty has been the ace of the staff this season and is coming off an important shutout outing against the Twins last time out. Ragans has only been getting better with time and has been fantastic down the stretch when the Royals have needed him most. Since August 1, Ragans has held hitters to a .191 batting average, a .190 xBA, and a 32% strikeout rate. The Yankees offense is slumping right now and the Royals could sneak out another win with a quality outing from Ragans.
Baltimore Orioles ML (+116) over Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox are officially in desperate mode. They are falling back in the Wild Card race and their postseason chances are dwindling with each loss. If they want to keep those postseason hopes alive, they need to start winning. However, that might be tough against Dean Kremer. The right-hander has had an up-and-down season thus far but is coming off a shutout performance against the Rays. That could be a sign of good things to come as he takes on an inconsistent Red Sox lineup. Just two games ago, the Red Sox exploded for 12 runs and 15 hits against the O's. But last night, Boston managed just 3 runs on 7 hits. It's hard to predict which version of the Sox offense will show up tonight, so because of their inconsistency at the plate and weak bullpen, the Orioles have a lot of value at plus odds.
Chicago Cubs ML (+136) over Los Angeles Dodgers
All aboard the “Fade the Bobby Miller” train! Miller burst onto the scene last season and was phenomenal in his time with the Dodgers as he posted a 3.76 ERA in 22 starts. He was expected to play a large role in the Dodgers rotation in 2024, but due to injuries and several poor performances, Miller has bounced between the Triple-A squad and the Dodgers. Yet, Miller has not found success at either level. He owns a 5.82 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 5 starts in Triple-A and then a 7.79 ERA and a 6.64 xERA in 11 starts for the Dodgers. Since rejoining the Dodgers staff in August, Miller has surrendered .299 xBA, 9% home run rate, and a 56% hard-hit rate. He's shown no signs of improvement since being promoted and I'm not too confident in him going up against a Cubs lineup that ranks 3rd in OPS and wRC+ against right-handed pitching since mid August. I'll happily fade Bobby Miller at this good of a price.
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