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Red Sox win (-145)
The Red Sox have enjoyed a very nice stretch of baseball since the end of June. Since June 30th, Boston is 12-5 and they are 6-1 in their last 7 games at home. Unfortunately for them, of those 5 losses, 4 of them have come in the last 7 games. The Red Sox snapped a 3-game losing streak on Saturday and will come out looking to return to the form that led to them winning 11 of 13 games prior to that losing streak.
The Mets present a good opportunity for the Red Sox to return to their strong early-July form. This Mets team is a shell of their preseason expectation, potential division-winning team. They just cannot get out of their own way. On paper, they should be good. But they just have not executed. The Red Sox are the better team in better form right now and more reliable to bring this one home.