The calendar has turned to August, which means there's more MLB regular season runway behind us than in front of us. It also means each individual game becomes increasingly more important. Taking that into consideration, you might be asking yourself about the differences between betting the money line and the run line.
Firstly, what is a run line? Well similar to a puck line in hockey, the run line is essentially the spread in baseball. Most of the time, it's a uniform 1.5, but on some rare occasions the sportsbooks will hang 2.5, usually when the favorite is -400 or longer.'
Now that we've established the basics, let's dive deeper and analyze which bet has been more profitable.'
Betting underdogs on the Run Line or Money Line
Entering play on July 31st, underdogs on the run line are winning at a rate of 56.7% (832-635) and $100 bettors are up $12,136. But if you bet those same underdogs on the money line, you’re only winning at a rate of 39.9% (586-881) and $100 bettors are down $10,396. That's a difference of more than $22,000 or 220 units, which is of course extremely significant.'