Seemingly lost among the plethora of pitching prop bets is the recorded outs wager. While likely not as popular as a strikeouts prop, the recorded outs wager can offer better odds if you are willing to do a bit of handicapping.
Dimers.com contributor David Miles tells you what to watch for when betting this seldom considered prop.
Outs totals for pitchers often range from 15.5 to as high as 20.5 for standouts like Justin Verlander of the Houston Astros. A fairly common total is 18.5 outs, or just over six innings, which is becoming a typical workload for a starting pitcher nowadays.
If you want to try your hand at recorded outs totals, you will want to consider factors such as a pitcher's typical pitch count in a game, his opponent, and how religiously his manager obsesses over his pitch count. Other factors to mull over are whether a pitcher is recovering from an injury or what time of the season it is. Managers tend to keep pitchers on a tight pitch count early in the season, give them more leeway as the season progresses, then rein them in again to “save” them for the postseason.