We have a big day of MLB action on Friday and I’ve picked out the 3 plays I like most on today’s baseball slate. I like a run-line underdog, a first 5-inning total and a money-line play for Friday, so let’s get into the reasoning behind those picks.
Kansas City Royals +1.5 over Milwaukee Brewers (+100)
The Royals begin a weekend series in Milwaukee against the Brewers. Kansas City took 3 of 4 from the White Sox at home this week and have had to travel after playing yesterday while the Brewers had an off day. Milwaukee will send Corbin Burnes to the mound who has been a little unlucky in his last two starts, leaving one after 5 innings and 2 earned runs with a lead, only to have the bullpen blow it. Then in his last start he allowed 3 unearned runs on a throwing error. Burnes has a 1.13 WHIP and is keeping the ball in the ballpark.
However, the Royals bats have come alive over the last 10 games. In May, they are averaging 7 runs per game, batting .302, have hit 17 home runs and have an OPS of .931. The Brewers offense is the opposite over the last 10 games, batting .235 with an OPS of .665 and averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Burnes should be good early, but I'll trust the Royals’ bats to stay hot and keep this close. Royals +1.5 on run line.
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Under 4.5 runs in first 5 innings of Astros vs White Sox (+100)
The Astros are in the Windy City to face the White Sox for a weekend series. Houston has been struggling at the plate and is averaging 3.7 runs per game since the beginning of May while batting .213, and has an OPS of just .589 with only 6 home runs. The White Sox start Michael Kopech, who hasn't been great, but facing batters the first time through the lineup, he has allowed opposing hitters to just hit .218. Even though he has allowed 12 home runs on the season, 9 of them came in 2 starts.