The Missouri Tigers (4-0) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (4-1) on Oct. 5 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Missouri vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Missouri vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Missouri vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today
- Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mookie Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Moose Muhammad III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jahdae Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.05 Units / -1.54% ROI).
- Missouri is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.64% ROI
- Missouri is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- Missouri is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -21.1% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.51% ROI
- Texas A&M is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 16.22% ROI
- Texas A&M is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -21.1% ROI
Missouri is 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .618
Missouri is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
Missouri is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Missouri is 9-1 (.900) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Texas A&M is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Texas A&M is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Texas A&M is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .284
Texas A&M is 10-1 (.909) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .700
Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 810 passing yards in 5 games (just 162.0 YPG) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 127.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs has 10 receptions in 5 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game this season — best among SEC defenses.