Missouri vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Cotton Bowl
Missouri vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Cotton Bowl

The Missouri Tigers (8-4) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (7-4) on Dec. 29 in Arlington, TX.

Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Missouri vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 49 total points.

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Missouri vs Ohio State Prediction, Cotton Bowl

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this bowl game with 59.1% confidence.

Missouri vs Ohio State Spread Prediction, Cotton Bowl

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)

  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 30% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today

  • Cody Schrader has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Mookie Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cody Schrader has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cade Stover has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Julian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle McCord has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Missouri is 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • Missouri is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Missouri is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.65 Units / 20.15% ROI).

  • Ohio State is 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 1.23% ROI
  • Ohio State is 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.08% ROI
  • Ohio State is 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.75 Units / 43.73% ROI

Missouri was winless (0-3) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Missouri is 12-2 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– tied for 20th-best in FBS; Average: .634

Missouri is 3-10 (.231) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .339

Missouri is 12-5 (.632) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 25th-best in FBS; Average: .491

Ohio State is 19-4 (.826) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

Ohio State is 25-1 (.962) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .588

Ohio State is 16-2 (.889) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .410

Ohio State is 20-2 (.833) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .394

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.4% of 375 attempts this season — tied for 13th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — best among SEC defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has gained 2,398 yards on 157 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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