Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13
Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The Missouri Tigers (9-2) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (4-7) on Nov. 24 in Fayetteville.

Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Missouri vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 73.5% confidence.

Missouri vs Arkansas Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 79.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Best Missouri Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Cody Schrader has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Mookie Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • KJ Jefferson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • KJ Jefferson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Isaac TeSlaa has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Andrew Armstrong has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Missouri is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 7.26% ROI
  • Missouri is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Missouri is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • Arkansas is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -15.5% ROI
  • Arkansas is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI
  • Arkansas is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI

Missouri was winless (0-3) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Missouri is 4-13 (.235) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .397

Missouri is 2-3 (.200) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .327

Missouri is 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– tied for 24th-best in FBS; Average: .633

Arkansas is 2-9 (.167) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Arkansas is 2-10 (.154) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .495

Arkansas is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .294

Arkansas is 9-6 (.562) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– 39th-worst in FBS; Average: .695

Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 1,965 passing yards in 10 games (just 196.5 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed 242.4 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 1,965 passing yards in 10 games (just 196.5 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Florida International’s defense has allowed 242.4 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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