Mississippi vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7
Mississippi vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

The Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Ole Miss vs. LSU Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Ole Miss vs LSU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ole Miss vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ole Miss Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.50 Units / 22% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Garrett Nussmeier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Garrett Nussmeier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).

  • Ole Miss is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -30.55% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 35.78% ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • LSU is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 3.77% ROI
  • LSU is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • LSU is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Ole Miss is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627

Ole Miss is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .534

Ole Miss is 14-2 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Ole Miss is 16-2 (.889) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

LSU is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627

LSU is 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .616

LSU is 12-2 (.857) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .599

LSU is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709

LSU’s WRs has 301 receptions in 18 games (16.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

LSU’s TEs has gained 309 yards on 32 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

  
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