The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1) visit Williams-Brice Stadium to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks (1-2) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Columbi a.
South Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs South Carolina Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Carolina will win this game with 64.9% confidence.
Mississippi State vs South Carolina Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi State and South Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
South Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+13.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+13.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jo’Quavious Marks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jo’Quavious Marks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Justin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Lideatrick Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Best South Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Carolina players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Spencer Rattler has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Spencer Rattler has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dakereon Joyner has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Xavier Legette has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Antwane Wells Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Mississippi State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Mississippi State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Carolina is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI).
- South Carolina is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -8.89% ROI
- South Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- South Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Mississippi State is undefeated (5-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410
Mississippi State is undefeated (5-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .516
Mississippi State is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .594
Mississippi State was undefeated (5-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .456
South Carolina is 11-4 (.733) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: .497
South Carolina is 14-5 (.636) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 37th-best in FBS; Average: .526
South Carolina is undefeated (4-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .551
South Carolina is undefeated (5-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 21st-best in FBS; Average: .528
South Carolina’s TEs has 12 receptions in 3 games (4.0 per game) this season — tied for third-best among SEC TEs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 26.7 receptions per game this season — tied for second-worst among P5 defenses.
South Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 1,153 passing yards in 3 games (384.3 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 288.3 passing yards per game this season — worst among SEC defenses.