The Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (8-3) on Nov. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Oxford.
Mississippi are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. Mississippi Over/Under is 59 total points.
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Mississippi State vs Mississippi Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 56.4% confidence.
Mississippi State vs Mississippi Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 70.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi State and Mississippi, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaden Walley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Caleb Ducking has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jo’quavious Marks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jo’quavious Marks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rara Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Mississippi Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 5.43% ROI
- Mississippi State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Mississippi State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 6.69% ROI
- Mississippi is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Mississippi is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Mississippi State is undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458
Mississippi State is 4-1 (.571) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438
Mississippi State is undefeated (2-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453
Mississippi State is 3-1 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458
#20 Ole Miss is 15-2 (.789) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .631
#20 Ole Miss is 12-3 (.632) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458
#20 Ole Miss is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .494
#20 Ole Miss is 14-3 (.737) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .516
Ole Miss’s RBs has 26 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for most among FBS RBs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 19 rushing TDs this season — third-most among SEC defenses.