The Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-2) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (6-1) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tuscaloosa.
Alabama are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -21 (-110).
The Over/Under for Mississippi State vs. Alabama is 61.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 77.8% confidence.
Mississippi State vs Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 79.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi State and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaden Walley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rara Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi State has gone 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 13.02% ROI
- Mississippi State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Mississippi State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama has gone 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Alabama is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.68% ROI
- Alabama is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Alabama is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
#23 Mississippi State is 6-3 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433
#23 Mississippi State is 1-4 (.143) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386
#1 Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
#1 Alabama is 17-1 (.895) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419
#1 Alabama is 16-1 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411
#1 Alabama is undefeated (17-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511
Alabama’s TEs has 61 receptions in 21 games (just 2.9 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among SEC TEs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 1.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for best among FBS defenses.