The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Mississippi State vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs Arizona State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Mississippi State vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi St and Arizona St and key player performances this season.
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Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi St is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Mississippi State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Arizona State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 37.74% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Arizona State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Mississippi State was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .452
Mississippi State is 3-8 (.250) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Mississippi State was winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426
Mississippi State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Arizona State is winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Arizona State is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .496
Arizona State is 1-16 (.053) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Arizona State is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .324
Arizona State’s RBs averaged 5.2 targets per game last season — T-27th-highest among FBS RBs. Mississippi State’s defense allowed 4.8 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State gained 2,215 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) last season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Mississippi State’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.