The Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-3) visit Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins (1-4) on Oct. 12 in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Minnesota vs. UCLA Over/Under is 40.5 total points.
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Minnesota vs UCLA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and UCLA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Minnesota vs UCLA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ethan Garbers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TJ Harden has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Logan Loya has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- Minnesota is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.92% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- UCLA is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -23.95% ROI
- UCLA is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- UCLA is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Minnesota is 4-9 (.308) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Minnesota is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .360
Minnesota is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Minnesota is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .537
UCLA is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
UCLA is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
UCLA is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .284
UCLA is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465
UCLA has gained 987 yards on 91 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA has gained 987 yards on 91 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.