The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-0) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Oxford, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 :15pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -41.5 (-110).
The Middle Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Middle Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Middle Tennessee vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 81.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and Mississippi and key player performances this season.
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Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- Ole Miss is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Middle Tennessee is winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143
Middle Tennessee is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
Middle Tennessee is winless (0-10) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .358
Middle Tennessee is 3-9 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
Ole Miss was undefeated (6-0) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .461
Ole Miss was 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .391
Ole Miss is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .580
Ole Miss was undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .562
Ole Miss’s QBs threw for 3,444 passing yards in 12 games (287.0 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss gained 3,444 yards on 235 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.