The Michigan Wolverines (5-0) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-2) on Oct. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Minneapolis.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).
The Michigan vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 46 total points.
Bet now on Minnesota vs Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Michigan vs Minnesota Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 92.4% confidence.
Michigan vs Minnesota Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Minnesota vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 away games (+3.30 Units / 86% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brevyn Spann-Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corey Crooms Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -41.28% ROI).
- Michigan is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 2.71% ROI
- Michigan is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Michigan is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI).
- Minnesota is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -10.61% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Minnesota is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Michigan is 19-3 (.864) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .421
Michigan is 17-1 (.944) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .502
Michigan is 26-3 (.897) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .527
Michigan is 17-2 (.895) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .383
Minnesota is 9-3 (.692) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .502
Minnesota is 19-8 (.679) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 24th-best in FBS; Average: .517
Minnesota is 6-1 (.667) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465
Minnesota is 19-7 (.731) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 31st-best in FBS; Average: .591
Minnesota’s QBs has thrown for 3,114 passing yards in 18 games (just 173.0 YPG) since the 2022 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 185.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.
Minnesota’s TEs has gained 71 yards on 13 receptions (just 5.5 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — tied for 26th-best among FBS defenses.