Michigan vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Big Ten Championship
Michigan vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Big Ten Championship

The Michigan Wolverines (12-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) on Dec. 2 in Indianapolis.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The Michigan vs. Iowa Over/Under is 35.5 total points.

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Michigan vs Iowa Prediction for Big Ten Championship

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 93.7% confidence.

Michigan vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Big Ten Championship

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 52% ROI)

  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Deacon Hill has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 4.17% ROI).

  • Michigan is 9-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 1.36% ROI
  • Michigan is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.77% ROI
  • Michigan is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -11.79% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 4.2% ROI).

  • Iowa is 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 9.71% ROI
  • Iowa is 2-10 when betting the Over for -9 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • Iowa is 10-2 when betting the Under for +7.8 Units / 59.09% ROI

Michigan is 21-2 (.913) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .384

Michigan is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .374

Michigan is 23-3 (.885) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .417

Michigan is undefeated (35-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .589

Iowa is undefeated (16-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .631

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .627

Iowa is 12-1 (.923) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .548

Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .544

Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 1,481 passing yards in 12 games (just 123.4 YPG) this season — fourth-worst among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 155.3 passing yards per game this season — third-best among P5 defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has gained 653 yards on 63 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — worst among Power 5 WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

  
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