The Michigan Wolverines (5-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (3-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Bloomington.
Michigan are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Michigan vs. Indiana is 59.5 total points.
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Michigan vs Indiana Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 76.9% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 79.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Indiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Erick All has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Connor Bazelak has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Connor Bazelak has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.87 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan has gone 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Michigan are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 17.09% ROI
- Michigan are 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -80% ROI
- Michigan are 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 72.73% ROI
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana has gone 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Indiana are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Indiana are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Indiana are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
#4 Michigan is undefeated (9-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .402
#4 Michigan is undefeated (10-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for best in FBS; Average: .563
#4 Michigan is 11-2 (.611) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395
#4 Michigan is 14-1 (.933) when not losing a fumble — best in FBS; Average: .500
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Indiana is winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350
Indiana is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454
Indiana is winless (0-8) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
Indiana is 1-10 (.067) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .320
Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Indiana
Indiana’s receiving corps has gained 2,044 yards on 179 receptions (just 11.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WR corps. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.