Michigan State vs. Penn State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-26-2022
Michigan State vs. Penn State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-26-2022

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It’s a clash of foes from the East Division of the Big Ten on the gridiron up in Happy Valley. The Michigan State Spartans are on the road as they make the trip to face the #11 Penn State Nittany Lions Saturday afternoon. Michigan State comes in on the heels of a 39-31 double-overtime loss to Indiana at home last Saturday, losing outright as a 12.5-point favorite, in their previous contest. Penn State pulverized Rutgers 55-10 on the road in their previous contest last Saturday, easily covering the 19.5-point spread in the game. The all-time series between the teams is even at 17-17-1 with Michigan State earning a 30-27 home win in the most recent matchup on November 27, 2021.

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Michigan State had won two straight and three of their previous four before getting knocked off by Indiana in double overtime at home last week. The Spartans fell to 5-6 overall on the season and stand 3-5 in the Big Ten so a win here could get them bowl eligible. Against Indiana, Michigan State trailed 7-3 after one quarter but outscored the Hoosiers 21-0 in the second to take a 24-7 halftime lead. The Spartans still led 31-24 after three quarters only to give up the tying score with 12:59 to play in regulation. Michigan State missed a 22-yard field goal on the final play of regulation to send the game to overtime. In the first overtime, both teams had field goals blocked while in the second overtime, Michigan State turned the ball over on downs before Indiana scored the game-winning touchdown. Michigan State held a 540-288 edge in total offense, racked up a 29-11 advantage in first downs and held a 36:33 to 23:27 margin in time of possess ion. The Spartans did commit the game’s lone turnover.

The Spartans are 55th in the nation in passing offense this season with an average of 241 yards per game. Michigan State struggles in the ground game, ranking 105th in the nation with an average of 121 yards per game. The Spartans are a mediocre 85th of the 131 teams in the FBS to take the field this season in scoring offense by putting up 25.2 points per game and stand 73rd in scoring defense by giving up 26.7 points a contest on the year. Payton Thorne is 218 of 344 passing for 2,450 yards with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. He has rushed for 63 yards as well. Noah Kim is 14 of 18 for 174 yards and three touchdowns in his limited action. Jalen Berger leads the ground attack as he has run the ball 141 times for 669 yards and six scores this season. Jarek Broussard (61 carries, 292 yards, three TD) and Elijah Collins (60 carries, 285 yards, six TD) are secondary options. Keon Coleman leads the team in the passing game with 50 catches for 707 yards plus seven scores on the year. Jayden Reed (49 receptions, 600 yards, five TD), Tre Mosley (31 grabs, 297 yards, four TD) and Daniel Barker (21 catches, 239 yards, two TD) each have at least 200 receiving yards on the year. Ben Patton is 15 of 16 on extra point attempts and four of eight on field goal attempts with a long of 48 this season. Jack Stone has hit 15 of 16 extra point attempts and one of three field goal attempts with a long of 43.

  
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