The Michigan State Spartans (3-2) visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (4-0) on Oct. 4 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -24 (-115).
The Michigan State vs. Oregon Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Michigan State vs Oregon Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.75 Units / 94% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today
- Nathan Carter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI).
- Michigan State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 45.63% ROI
- Michigan State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
- Michigan State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 16.51% ROI
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Oregon is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 7.45% ROI
- Oregon is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .506
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Michigan State is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .762
Michigan State is undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .647
Oregon is 16-1 (.941) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .654
Oregon is 15-2 (.882) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .670
Oregon is 8-2 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .603
Oregon is 16-1 (.941) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .595
Oregon’s WRs has 309 receptions in 18 games (17.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s TEs has 31 receptions in 4 games (7.8 per game) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.