The Michigan State Spartans (3-4) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (7-0) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Ann Arbor.
Michigan are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-105).
The Over/Under for Michigan State vs. Michigan is 55 total points.
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Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 76.3% confidence.
Michigan State vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 74.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tre Mosley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jarek Broussard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.64 Units / 45% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+11.87 Units / 20% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State has gone 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).
- Michigan State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.66% ROI
- Michigan State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Michigan State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan has gone 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Michigan is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 12.5% ROI
- Michigan is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -58.44% ROI
- Michigan is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 50.65% ROI
Michigan State is 13-2 (.812) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 6th-best in FBS; Average: .488
Michigan State is 10-2 (.769) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .529
Michigan State is 9-1 (.818) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .541
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .562
#4 Michigan is 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — best in FBS; Average: .379
#4 Michigan is undefeated (16-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — best in FBS; Average: .509
#4 Michigan is 18-1 (.947) when rushing for more than 100 yards — best in FBS; Average: .534
#4 Michigan is undefeated (15-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — best in FBS; Average: .509
Michigan’s TEs has 28 receptions in 6 games (4.7 per game) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.