Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-1-2023

Once Upon A Time in America Betting Show

The (8-7) Miami Dolphins and (7-8) New England Patriots will tangle in Foxborough, MA, on Sunday at Gillette Stadium. In Week One, Miami defeated New England 20-7 at home. The Dolphins, 3-5 in road games this season, have lost four straight games. The Patriots, 3-4 at home, have lost consecutive one-score games to Las Vegas and Cincinnati.

Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Patriots opened as one-point underdogs, but the line has shifted in favor of the home team, who are 2.5-point spread favorites. The game total is 41 points scored.

The Dolphins are sliding, with four straight losses jeopardizing what was once a promising season. Miami must find a way to win without quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (3,548 passing yards, 68.8 QBR), who is in concussion protocol after suffering another concerning injury against the Bengals. The winner of Sunday's matchup with New England will likely earn a postseason berth, placing Miami's fate in Teddy Bridgewater's hands.

''I'm excited to get an opportunity to play some football, some meaningful football,'' the 30-year-old said. ''Looking forward to this opportunity we have to get into the tournament.''

Heading into Week 13, things were looking great in Miami, as the Dolphins were 8-3 and riding a five-game win streak. With Tagovailoa leading the way, the biggest question on 'Fins fans' minds was whether the team could beat out Buffalo for t he AFC East title. Now, it's postseason or bust.

The Dolphins are scoring 24.3 points and averaging 370.8 total yards per game, including 95.9 rushing yards and 274.9 passing yards. They won't have Tua on Sunday, but Bridgewater still has receivers Tyreek Hill (1,632 receiving yards and 7 TDs) and Jaylen Waddle (1,260 receiving yards and 8 TDs) at his disposal. Miami is 22nd in third down conversion percentage (37.2%) and 10th in red zone touchdown scoring percentage (60.0%).

Miami surrenders 24.7 points and 353.8 total yards per game, including 109.1 rushing yards and 244.7 passing yards. It's ranked 25th in opponent third down conversion percentage (41.6%) and 24th in opponent red zone touchdown scoring percentage (60.0%). The Dolphins have the third-fewest takeaways this season (14).

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