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The New York Mets look to complete a season sweep of the New York Yankees today, and we have you covered with our best Mets vs. Yankees player props based on odds from the best sports betting sites.
The Mets were determined to not let Aaron Judge beat them yesterday, walking him four times (one intentional). The strategy worked, as the Mets held on to win 3-2, which means they have now outscored the Yankees 24-11 while improving to 3-0 against them this year.
Given the Mets' willingness to pitch around Judge, we're backing the Yankees' other main slugger, Juan Soto, to pick up the slack with one of our three player prop wagers today.
The Yankees are -172 moneyline favorites through Betway, with first pitch from Yankee Stadium scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday night.
Mets vs. Yankees player props
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Gerrit Cole to record win (OFF via Betway) ???
- Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 hits (+135 via Betway) ???
- Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs (+200 via bet365) ????
Mets vs. Yankees expert picks
MLB picks made Wednesday at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Gerrit Cole is starting to round into form, and the Yankees have won his last four starts with a plus-25 run differential in that span.
New York's winning streak in Cole's starts came following his worst of seven outings, when the Mets tagged him for six earned runs (including four home runs) on June 25. However, he was still on a limited pitch count then after returning from an injury. I also expect positive regression from a barrels standpoint, as he ranks in the 15th percentile with a 9.8% barrel rate, while he posted barrel rates of 7.6% or lower in six other seasons.
Considering Betway is on the higher side of the market while instilling the Yankees as -172 moneyline favorites, I would expect to get Cole at plus-money odds to record the win, and would play this to -105 when the line becomes available.
Best odds: OFF via Betway | Implied probability: N/A
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Francisco Lindor is a switch-hitter, but he's been performing much better from the right side of the plate this season. Against lefties, Lindor is slashing .277/.336/.527, but those numbers dip to .247/.335/.440 against righties. And Lindor is just 3-for-17 with a .297 slugging percentage and .557 OPS over his career against Cole.
I was all set to make the Under on Lindor's 1.5 total bases a confident four-star play. That is until I saw Betway's steep -180 price tag, with a winning $10 wager paying out $15.56.
Therefore, despite him getting the same -180 odds to record at least one hit (which carries a 64.29% implied probability), I'm taking a more calculated risk for a $23.50 payout on a winning $10 wager that Lindor will go hitless for the first time in nine games.
Best odds: +135 via Betway | Implied probability: 42.55%
Soto had been raking lately entering Tuesday, with a 1.153 OPS and 15 RBIs in his previous 98 plate appearances. Soto hit seven home runs in that span, and 15 of his 27 hits went for extra bases. He had also drawn more walks (17) than strikeouts (14).
The superstar faces Mets southpaw Sean Manaea, and while his slugging percentage against lefties may be 123 points lower than against righties, his average (.298 vs. .312) and on-base percentage (.423 vs. 436) are comparable.
This is a four-star play, as the Yankees have cashed their team total Over through the first five innings in 47 of the club's last 79 games (+11.75 units/14% ROI). I expect Soto to play a role in another solid early start, and given the Mets' unwillingness to pitch to Judge, the $30 payout on a winning $10 wager for this prop is enticing.
Best odds: +200 via Betway | Implied probability: 33.33%
Mets vs. Yankees odds & game info
- When: Wednesday, July 24
- First pitch: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, N.Y.
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Yankees (-172 via Betway)
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