The New York Mets (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Mets are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-49 ATS.

Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 6-4, 3.77 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-1, 4.66 ERA

Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+32.50 Units / 464% ROI)
• Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 53% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 85% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+13.30 Units / 121% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 91 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.44 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 48-52 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.32% ROI).

• 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
• 52-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
• 43-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -12.6% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-49 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 9.17% ROI).

• 60-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.73% ROI
• 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.76% ROI
• 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -10.75% ROI

Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has walked 20 of 171 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 34 of 337 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.

8 of Sean Manaea’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (22%) have been backdoor this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 86th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .548 (637 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 30% (191 SO in 637 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (93 Total Bases / 326 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .412 — 99th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .247 (344 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
Read Full Article