The New York Mets (+100) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-120) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mets vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 78-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-67 ATS.
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday's matchup with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 42 games (+23.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+15.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 away games (+14.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 39 of his last 63 away games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 46 of his last 65 games at home (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+13.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+13.87 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 90 games (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+2.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 67-54 against the Run Line (+15.6 Units / 10.61% ROI).
- 78-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.7 Units / 11.25% ROI
- 62-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 52-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.7 Units / -11.86% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 53-67 against the Run Line (-15.95 Units / -11.48% ROI).
- 74-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -6.95% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.93% ROI
Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 110 of Taijuan Walker's 489 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 23%) since the start of last season – 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 35% – second Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 147 of Taijuan Walker's 682 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season – 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 32% – third Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of Taijuan Walker's breaking pitches (205/505) this season – 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 47% – third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .294 (139-for-472) against Taijuan Walker in non-two strike counts since the start of last season – 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .331 – 93rd Percentile.
Francelis Montas: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (133/387) against Frankie Montas when he's behind in the count since the start of last season – 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 25% – 98th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has thrown his slider 29% of the time (364/1,270) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season – 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% – 86th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Frankie Montas this season is 407.1 feet – 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.5
Opponents have a chase percentage of 28% (457/1,604) against Frankie Montas in non-two strike counts since the start of last season – 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 23% – 96th Percentile.