The New York Mets (-160) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+135) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Mets vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 78-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-67 ATS.
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday's matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 41 games (+22.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 39 of his last 62 away games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 away games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 46 of his last 64 games at home (+16.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+14.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 123 games (+15.12 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+4.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 67-53 against the Run Line (+16.6 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- 78-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.35 Units / 12.26% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 4.17% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -12.71% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 52-67 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -12.31% ROI).
- 73-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.71% ROI
Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .222 (573 PA's) against right-handed batters since the start of last season – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .306 – 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .179 (67-for-375) against Max Scherzer versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season – 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .259 – 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (97/325) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season – 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 44% – third Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 55% (134 SO in 244 PAs) with two-strikes this season – 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 42% – 98th Percentile.
Domingo German: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has struck out just 9% (4/47) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) – lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% – first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (8/29) against Domingo German – 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% – eighth Percentile.
Domingo German has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.2 innings he's appeared – David Phelps has the longest active streak at 61.1.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Domingo German – 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% – third Percentile.