Mets vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 7
Mets vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 7

The New York Mets (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Mets are 59-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 58-56 ATS.

Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 5-2, 4.13 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-10, 4.93 ERA

Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+37.50 Units / 341% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 32 games (+35.80 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 104 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 72 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-58 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.6% ROI).

  • 59-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.42% ROI
  • 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -9.85% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 58-56 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -7.26% ROI).

  • 42-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -6.73% ROI
  • 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.74% ROI
  • 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -6.26% ROI

Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Harrison Bader (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jesse Winker (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Kris Bryant (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175

Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Blackburn (NYM) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
Ryan Feltner (COL) 4.5 +115 4.5 -155

Opponents are hitting .438 (7-for-16) against Paul Blackburn when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (59/178) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (37/110) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (41/175) against Paul Blackburn on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 420.6 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 397.8

Opponents are hitting .276 (132-for-479) against Ryan Feltner this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — eighth Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .334 (527 PA’s) this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 11th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of .919 (134 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .703 — third Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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